GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/16/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Triestina are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while PRO Vercelli are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TriestinaWLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
PRO VercelliDWWWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TriestinaPRO Vercelli
53.5Attack43.9
61.4Defence58.8
56.1Form46.5
58.1Power51.1
1.45xG0.91
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