Triestinavs
Pro Patria
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 11/28/2025, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pro Patria are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00