Triestinavs
Pro Patria
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/16/2025, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pro Patria are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60