GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/4/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Triestina are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pro Patria are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TriestinaDWLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Pro PatriaDWWWD

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TriestinaPro Patria
53.5Attack32.5
61.4Defence55.3
56.1Form40.4
58.1Power45.1
1.60xG0.66
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