GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/9/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Triestina are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pergolettese are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TriestinaDWWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PergoletteseDDLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TriestinaPergolettese
53.5Attack38.6
61.4Defence56.1
56.1Form39.5
58.1Power45.8
1.56xG0.79
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