Triestinavs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 1/28/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pergolettese are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80