GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/7/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Triestina are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ospitaletto are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TriestinaDLLWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OspitalettoDLWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
TriestinaOspitaletto
53.5Attack36.0
61.4Defence62.3
56.1Form39.5
58.1Power47.8
1.34xG0.73
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