Triestinavs
Ospitaletto
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/7/2025, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ospitaletto are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25