Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Triestina are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mantova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40