Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Triestina are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lumezzane are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00