GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/2/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Triestina are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Legnago Salus are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TriestinaLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Legnago SalusDWWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TriestinaLegnago Salus
53.5Attack40.4
61.4Defence65.8
56.1Form49.1
58.1Power53.5
1.19xG0.84
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