Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lecco are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00