Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lecco are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60