Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Inter U23 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40