GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/8/2024, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Triestina are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TriestinaDDLLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Giana ErminioLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TriestinaGiana Erminio
53.5Attack40.4
61.4Defence61.4
56.1Form46.5
58.1Power50.7
1.36xG0.83
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