Triestinavs
Giana Erminio
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 12/9/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Triestina are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20