Triestinavs
Fiorenzuola
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/28/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Triestina are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
64.5%
Model confidence
64.5%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20