GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/29/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Triestina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Feralpisalo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Feralpisalo hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TriestinaLWLDD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FeralpisaloWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TriestinaFeralpisalo
53.5Attack46.5
61.4Defence73.7
56.1Form63.2
58.1Power62.6
0.89xG1.00
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