Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Triestina are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Clodiense are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
70.9%
Model confidence
70.9%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80