Triestinavs
Cittadella
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 2/21/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Cittadella are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60