Triestinavs
Caldiero Terme
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/8/2024, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Triestina are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Caldiero Terme are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
65.7%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20