Triestinavs
Atalanta II
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/15/2024, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Triestina are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20