Triestinavs
Arzignano Valchiampo
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/21/2025, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Arzignano Valchiampo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20