GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 8/24/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Triestina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Arzignano Valchiampo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TriestinaLDLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Arzignano ValchiampoLDLWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TriestinaArzignano Valchiampo
53.5Attack28.1
61.4Defence67.5
56.1Form38.6
58.1Power46.1
1.16xG0.57
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