Triestinavs
Arzignano Valchiampo
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 11/25/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Arzignano Valchiampo are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20