Triestinavs
Alessandria
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/26/2024, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alessandria are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20