GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/14/2025, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Triestina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Albinoleffe are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TriestinaLWDDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AlbinoleffeDDLWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
TriestinaAlbinoleffe
53.5Attack29.8
61.4Defence67.5
56.1Form39.5
58.1Power47.9
1.15xG0.61
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