Triestinavs
Albinoleffe
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 1/13/2024, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Albinoleffe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80