Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triesen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Triesen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 5.80 conceded, while Vaduz II are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Triesen hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Cup, while Triesen holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triesen
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
8.5%
Triesen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 29 · avg 1.40/5.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/1.00