Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Vaduz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Triesen are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while FC Vaduz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Vaduz hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 91.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Cup, while FC Vaduz holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Vaduz
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
FC Vaduz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.33
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60