Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notodden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Træff 1-1 Notodden
Original prediction
Notodden
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.6% | 33.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.3% | 26.5% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.0% | 40.1% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Notodden
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Notodden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TræffWDLWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NotoddenWDLWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
TræffNotodden
66.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence100.0
44.4Form100.0
51.1Power97.0
1.58xG1.95