GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Treze are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Serra Branca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.6 against 57.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

18.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrezeWLWLL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Serra BrancaWDDLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TrezeSerra Branca
52.1Attack40.5
60.4Defence73.8
56.3Form52.4
57.6Power57.4
0.88xG0.87
View match centre →