Trevisovs
PRO Vercelli
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Treviso · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Treviso 2-1 PRO Vercelli
Original prediction
Treviso
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.7% | 40.2% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 31.7% | 30.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.7% | 29.5% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Treviso
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Treviso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.75/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80