Trevisovs
Ospitaletto
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/11/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Treviso 0-0 Ospitaletto, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Treviso 0-1 Ospitaletto
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.7% | 33.4% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.0% | 32.0% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.3% | 34.6% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Projected Score
Treviso 0–0 Ospitaletto
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.0%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TrevisoDWDDW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OspitalettoDWLDW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TrevisoOspitaletto
33.3Attack57.1
75.0Defence71.4
54.2Form57.1
57.4Power62.3
0.75xG0.85