Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Treviso · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Treviso 1-0 Lecco, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Treviso 1-0 Lecco
Original prediction
Treviso
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.7% | 41.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.4% | 30.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 27.9% | 28.3% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Projected Score
Treviso 1–0 Lecco
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Treviso
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Treviso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TrevisoLL
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50
BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
LeccoDDLLL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
TrevisoLecco
50.0Attack31.6
50.0Defence58.8
50.0Form37.7
50.0Power44.9
1.18xG0.74