Trevisovs
Giana Erminio
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/4/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Treviso · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Treviso 1-0 Giana Erminio, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Treviso 0-0 Giana Erminio
Original prediction
Treviso
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.8% | 46.9% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.8% | 28.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.26 | 21.5% | 24.6% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Projected Score
Treviso 1–0 Giana Erminio
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Treviso
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Treviso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TrevisoWDDWD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Giana ErminioDDDLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TrevisoGiana Erminio
50.0Attack16.7
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form16.7
83.3Power36.5
1.36xG0.75