Trentovs
Union Brescia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Trento 0-0 Union Brescia, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Trento 0-0 Union Brescia
Original prediction
Union Brescia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 25.9% | 26.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 30.8% | 31.6% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 43.3% | 41.8% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Projected Score
Trento 0–0 Union Brescia
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TrentoWLDWW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union BresciaWWWWL
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TrentoUnion Brescia
0.0Attack43.0
100.0Defence78.9
33.3Form60.5
45.3Power62.2
0.59xG1.02