Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Trento are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Renate are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00