Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Trento are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Renate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00