Trentovs
PRO Vercelli
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trento · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trento 4-0 PRO Vercelli
Original prediction
Trento
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.5% | 44.4% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 28.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 20.1% | 27.1% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Trento
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Trento has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TrentoDDWLD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PRO VercelliDLWDL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TrentoPRO Vercelli
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.33xG0.91