Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Trento are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pro Sesto are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00