Trentovs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/25/2025, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Trento are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pergolettese are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40