GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/21/2025, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Trento are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pergolettese are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrentoDLWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PergoletteseLWWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TrentoPergolettese
29.8Attack38.6
67.5Defence56.1
44.7Form39.5
49.2Power45.8
0.85xG0.68
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