GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/18/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Trento are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrentoWDLDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
PergoletteseLLLDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TrentoPergolettese
29.8Attack38.6
67.5Defence56.1
44.7Form39.5
49.2Power45.8
0.85xG0.68
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