Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Trento are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Padova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00