Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Trento are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Mantova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40