Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Trento are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lumezzane are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.2 against 50.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00