Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
27%
HighconfidenceTrento are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lecco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Serie C - Girone A, favouring a draw with 27.0% confidence, a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
27.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TrentoDDWLW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LeccoLDWWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TrentoLecco
29.8Attack31.6
67.5Defence58.8
44.7Form37.7
49.2Power44.9
0.80xG0.55