Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Trento are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lecco are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80