Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Trento are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lecco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00