Trentovs
Folgore Caratese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/11/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trento · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Trento 1-0 Folgore Caratese, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Trento 1-0 Folgore Caratese
Original prediction
Trento
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.9% | 58.6% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 25.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.67 | 19.4% | 16.2% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
Trento 1–0 Folgore Caratese
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Trento
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Trento has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TrentoDDWDD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Folgore CarateseLWDDL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TrentoFolgore Caratese
45.8Attack37.5
79.2Defence50.0
58.3Form25.0
62.0Power40.5
1.53xG0.56